
November 6, 2024
What Is Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), Really
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) isn’t some mystical momentum gauge. It’s math—Marc Chaikin’s math—designed to expose the real tug-of-war between accumulation and distribution over time.
The formula blends price location (relative to the day’s range) with volume. When the close is near the high on rising volume, CMF turns positive—think strong buying pressure. If the close hugs the low? That’s distribution, and CMF dips below zero.
Default lookback is 21 days. Why 21? It roughly matches the number of trading days in a month. Traders like symmetry.
CMF Formula (For the Curious)
Yes, platforms handle this for you. But if you’re the type who manually backtests in Excel on Sundays, here’s how it works:
Step 1: Money Flow Multiplier
= ((Close – Low) – (High – Close)) / (High – Low)
Step 2: Money Flow Volume
= Money Flow Multiplier × Volume
Step 3: CMF
= 21-day Sum of Money Flow Volume / 21-day Sum of Volume
That’s it. It’s not beautiful, but it works.
Reading CMF Like a Trader, Not a Tourist
CMF Above Zero = Buyers in Control
Sustained green? That’s accumulation. Price strength confirmed. But don’t take one bar as gospel—look for consistent closes near the high with volume.
For a deeper look at how volume and relative strength interact, check out Find Winning Stocks with Relative Strength.
CMF Below Zero = Sellers Pushing
Negative CMF means sellers are stuffing the bid. Downward momentum usually follows.
Hovering Near Zero = Mixed Bag
This is indecision territory. Noise. Sit on your hands or zoom out.
3 Real Ways to Trade CMF
1. Breakout Confirmation
Let price break your level—resistance or support. Now check CMF:
- Breakout + CMF above zero = Green light.
- Breakdown + CMF below zero = Red flag for bulls.
No confirmation? Pass. The edge isn’t there.
2. Zero Line Crosses
This one’s basic—but effective.
- CMF crosses from below to above zero = Bullish momentum building.
- CMF crosses from above to below zero = Distribution kicking in.
Filter out weak crosses. A move just barely over zero is noise. Many traders wait for ±0.05 to confirm strength.
3. Divergence Tells the Truth
Classic divergence works here too:
- Bearish Divergence: Price makes a higher high, CMF makes a lower high. Smart money’s exiting.
- Bullish Divergence: Price makes a lower low, CMF holds higher. Buying interest underneath.
Divergence + strong support/resistance? That’s a signal worth watching.
Limitations You Shouldn’t Ignore
CMF is not a system. It’s a tool. It won’t hand you:
- Entry timing
- Stop placement
- Profit targets
It also lags. Volume-weighted math isn’t snappy. Don’t lean on CMF alone—pair it with price action or faster indicators like RSI or MACD.
Also, CMF assumes intraday highs and lows mean something. That’s mostly true—but less so in low-volume stocks or extended hours.
Smart Ways to Use CMF With Other Tools
- RSI + CMF: RSI signals overbought/oversold, CMF confirms the pressure behind it.
- Price Action + CMF: Let the chart tell the story. CMF just confirms who’s driving the plot.
- Moving Averages + CMF: Use MAs for trend, CMF for confirmation.
If you’re just learning to connect the dots between structure and signal, Stan Weinstein Stage Analysis is a foundational resource.
Real Talk: When CMF Fails
- Flat Volume Periods: Low liquidity = misleading signals
- Volatile News Events: Wild candles can skew CMF readings for days
- Choppy Markets: When everything whipsaws, CMF can flip-flop too
Know when to ignore it. Or better yet, go walk the dog.